War with Iran? (Harpers.org): "War with Iran?
Part one of an online forum: the independent analysts
Posted on Tuesday, February 13, 2007. By Ken Silverstein.
Last Saturday, the Guardian ran a story stating that “U.S. preparations for an air strike against Iran are at an advanced stage, in spite of repeated public denials by the Bush administration, according to informed sources in Washington. The present military build-up in the Gulf would allow the U.S. to mount an attack by the spring. But the sources said that if there was an attack, it was more likely next year.”
The chance of military action certainly seems to be growing. Some in the administration, led by the vice president, seem to want a confrontation with Iran before George W. Bush's term expires. A few days ago, I spoke with a person who is intimately familiar with the official debate on Iran. This person told me that the Pentagon has completed its targeting of hundreds of Iranian sites; and although he did not believe that a strike is imminent or inevitable, he does believe that the White House considers itself to have addressed and overcome all significant obstacles to a military strike.
So is a military confrontation with Iran coming?
Over the past few days, I've contacted a number of academics, think-tank analysts, and former government officials and asked them whether "